Experts are confident that in May 2025, there will be no sharp changes in the Russian new car market. Sales remain stable but significantly below last year’s figures.
Renat Tyukteev, Deputy General Director for Sales at AG “Avilon,” predicts that there will be no growth in the second quarter, but in the second half of the year, sales may increase due to deferred demand and expectations of a key rate cut. In his opinion, the total volume of new passenger car sales in 2025 will amount to about 1.4 million units, which is roughly 11–12% less than last year.
Anton Shaparin, President of the National Automobile Union, notes that demand in May will be restrained due to the long holidays, when people are more focused on leisure than on buying cars.
At the same time, Anastasia Baybarosha from “Alfa-Leasing” Group predicts a sales growth of about 10% in May compared to March if April’s figures turn out to be low. This is due to the low base effect and the start of the vacation season.
Nikolay Ivanov, Director of the New Cars Department at “Rolf,” expects that in May sales may drop to 85,000 due to holidays and traditionally low buyer activity.
Andrey Terlyukevich, General Director of “AutoSpecCentre” Group, adds that the current ruble exchange rate allows prices to remain stable, making dealer offers attractive to customers.
